The Central Institute for Economic Management (CIEM) recently hosted a seminar on methodological framework for a national Green GDP Index for Vietnam. Vietnam Business Forum has an interview with Ms Vu Xuan Nguyet Hong, Deputy Director of CIEM, to elaborate new assessment criteria for Vietnamese economy. Anh Phuong reports.
Is the “Green GDP” Index a new gauge to measure the sustainable development of Vietnamese economy?
In fact, this is not really a new criterion to assess the health of Vietnamese economy. However, instead of using conventional GDP calculation method, according to the Prime Minister’s Decision No. 43/2010/QD-TTg, the “Green GDP” Index will be brought into the national socioeconomic indicator system, starting from 2014. Therefore, the Green GDP Index is taken by conventional GDP minus indicators of resource depletion and damage caused by environmental pollution. If is now quite difficult to determine these two parameters, resource depletion and damage caused by environmental pollution.
How do the "Green GDP" criteria form in the world?
In the 1970s, some developed countries in the world like Norway, France and Finland made a great effort to build a mechanism to integrate environmental damage and natural resource depletion into national economic accounting. In 1993, the United Nations and World Bank (WB) collaborated to develop a methodology for the construction of natural and environmental accounts and published an instruction manual on the System of Integrated Environmental and Economic Accounting (SEEA 1993). The amendment to this system was made in 2003. That is the premise for CIEM to research and find out best methods for Vietnam to compute the “Green GDP” Index.
It is said that the “Green GDP” Index is a formula to reassess Vietnam’s overheating economic development. What is your opinion about this?
In reality, Vietnam enjoyed a high economic growth rate for a long period of time and international friends spoke high of it. However, looking from the perspective of sustainable development and environmental factors, Vietnam’s growth was primarily driven by the extraction of available natural resources in the country in the past decade. The growth concentrated on polluting, energy-intensive industries.
Meanwhile, the System of National Accounts (SNA) does not account environmental costs or measure full contributions of the environment. An early urgent warning by economists to Vietnam’s economy is the very use of conventional GDP index is likely to lead to a growth policy that focuses all resources on growth at any cost.
Do you think the Green GDP Index construction project will be successful when the governments from central to local levels are not very familiar with this concept?
The Green GDP Index construction project was funded by the UK's Foreign Commonwealth Office from July 2011 to March 2012. Specialists from the General Statistics Office (GSO) and CIEM are quickly building computing methods for Green GDP Index. And, after nine months of study, the framework methodology for construction of Vietnam Green GDP Index was created. However, to be used as a criterion of national environmental accounting, it remains new to both policymakers and statistical staffs in Vietnam. For this reason, to have a roadmap to put this set of criteria into practice, we must go through some stages like building a framework methodology, information and data preparation, and human resources development to perform green accounting.
So, what data sources should Vietnam focus on calculating?
Currently, according to Vietnamese and international experts, Vietnam can apply international environmental accounting framework and should firstly focus on key accounts like natural resources: non-renewable energy like petroleum, coal and gas; pollution accounts; and environmental public spending accounts. In particular, forest account should be given first priority.
Why is forest account given priority?
The reason is very simple. Forest account is easier to do with than other accounts such as mineral account and energy account. Besides, energy account potentially contains national secrets.
Did the research team meet up with any major difficulties?
Personally, I see many data gaps and difficulties in compiling environmental accounts. Specifically, there is still a gap in computing GDP demand side and GDP supply side, there are no industries representative of waste reusable costs, there are not enough parameter matrix for direct wastes and natural resources, etc. Hence, we need the cooperation from concerned bodies to create a complete Green GDP Index in 2014. We should avoid the case of China which enjoyed overheating annual GDP growth of 9-11 percent but environmental pollution took away 15 percent of its GDP. This is an important lesson for Vietnam.