Targeting GDP per Capita of US$8,500 by 2030

The first Congress of the Party Committee of the Ministry of Finance set the target that the average gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate for the 2026-2030 period will reach 10% per year or higher, and GDP per capita will reach US$8,500 by 2030.

Many important achievements

The first Congress of the Party Committee of the Ministry of Finance for the 2025-2030 term recently opened in Hanoi. In his opening speech, Secretary of the Party Committee and Minister of Finance Nguyen Van Thang said that the first Congress of the Party Committee of the Ministry of Finance took place in a special context and held extremely important significance.

Looking back at the past term, despite many challenges, the Party Committee of the Ministry of Finance promoted a spirit of solidarity to obtain many achievements. Fiscal policies were proactively and flexibly implemented, contributing to macroeconomic stability, promoting economic recovery, and ensuring social security and sustainable development.

Total state budget revenue for the 2021-2025 period is estimated at VND9.4 million billion, far exceeding the set target. The Party Committee proactively proposed exemptions, reductions, and deferrals of taxes, fees, and land rents totaling about VND1.1 million billion, creating conditions for production and business recovery and earning high appreciation from the business community and the public.

Total state budget expenditure for the 2021-2025 period is estimated at VND10.4 million billion, meeting the planned target. Development investment expenditure reached VND3.4 million billion, exceeding the plan, of which VND176.4 trillion was allocated to implementing the socio-economic recovery program. The average state budget deficit for the period is about 3.4% of GDP, meeting the planned target and remaining below the ceiling of 3.7% of GDP. Public debt has been tightly controlled, decreasing from 62.7% of GDP at the end of 2021 to about 36-37% of GDP at the end of 2025, all remaining within safe limits.

Notable targets by 2030

In the next five-year period, the Ministry of Finance has established key targets for implementing political tasks. Specifically, regarding economic development, the average gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate for the 2026-2030 period is expected to reach 10% per year or higher, and GDP per capita is projected to reach US$8,500 by 2030.

The contribution of total factor productivity (TFP) to growth is expected to be about 55%. The average growth rate of social labor productivity will reach approximately 8.5% per year. Total asset accumulation will account for about 35-36% of GDP, while the proportion of final consumption will be around 62-63% of GDP.

Regarding macroeconomic stability and inflation, the average state budget deficit for the 2026-2030 period is expected to be about 5% of GDP. The average public debt-to-GDP ratio will exceed 45%, and average inflation during this period is projected at about 4.0-4.5% per year.

In terms of mobilization and allocation of financial resources, the average total social investment capital over five years is expected to be about 40% of GDP, with the public investment ratio accounting for 20-22% of total social investment capital. By 2030, the capitalization of the stock market is projected to reach 120% of GDP.

Outstanding debt in the bond market is expected to reach at least 58% of GDP, of which outstanding corporate bonds will account for at least 25% of GDP. The derivatives market is projected to grow at an average rate of about 25-30% per year during the 2026-2030 period.

The goal is to have 2 million enterprises by 2030, equivalent to 20 enterprises per thousand people. At least 20 large enterprises are expected to participate in the global value chain. The average growth rate of the private economy is projected at about 10-12% per year, by 2030 there will be at least 50 enterprises in the Top 500 Southeast Asian enterprises and at least one enterprise in the Top 500 global enterprises.

By Le Hien, Vietnam Business Forum